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David Davis
21262 Genoa Road
Linneus, MO 64653
Phone: 660 895-5121
FAX: 660 895=5122
Email:
DavisDK@missouri.edu
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Why Steers? Why Now?
Kevin Moore and Jim Gerrish
Many of you have probably talked to someone who just
recently started retaining their own calves, overwintering
them before backgrounding them on grass the next year. Maybe
you know of somebody who buys lightweight calves in the spring
and runs them on grass until fall, and they don't seem to be
as depressed about cattle prices as the cow-calf producer. And
likely you have read some article that suggested backgrounding
profits may not be hurt too much by our currently low cattle
prices. This article takes a look at the economics of
backgrounding beef calves, and explains why during depressed
calf and feeder prices, backgrounding can still offer the
cattleman an opportunity to make a profit.
Making a profit backgrounding steers or heifers boils
down to producing animal gains at a cost less than what you
get paid for them. What you get paid is called value of gain,
and it is not the price per pound at which you sell the
animal. Value of gain is determined by three things:
- The price per pound you paid for the steer
- The price per pound you receive when you sell the steer,
and
- The amount of weight gained by the steer.
Value of gain is computed as:
Sales Value (750 pounds X $0.70) $525.00
Beginning Value (450 pounds X $0.84) $378.00
Gross Returns $147.00
Gross Returns/Weight Gain =$147.00/300lb
or $0.49 per pound
Note that value of gain is $0.49 per lb, and not the
selling price of $0.70 per lb. This is due to the fact that as
the steer gains weight, generally the price per pound that the
steer is worth goes down. So when you sell the initial 450
pounds that you bought at $0.84 in the above example, you only
receive $0.70 for it. Thus you have lost $0.14 per pound on
450 pounds, or $63. This loss divided by the weight gain
($63/300 = $0.21) represents the difference between the
selling price and the actual value of the gain you produce
($0.70 - $0.21 = $0.49 value of gain).
Tables 1 - 3 show the true value of gain for different
combinations of buying and selling prices at different steer
gain levels. Table 1 is for a steer gaining 315 pounds during
the backgrounding phase. What is important is the effect of
greater negative margins, or larger negative differences
between purchase and eventual sales price. If you could sell
a steer at the price per pound you paid for him, then you
would not lose any money on the initial weight you sell back,
so value of gain in this one case does equal sales (and
purchase) price. If market conditions changed enough so that
cattle prices moved higher during the summer, and you could
sell the steer at more per pound than you gave for him, then
value of gain is even higher than sales price due to the
increase in value of the initial weight you bought.
But typically, calf prices peak in the spring as grass
begins to grow and fall into the summer, with a little bump in
late summer as fall forage growth occurs, and then back lower
as winter approaches and the bulk of new calves are weaned and
sold. Over the decade of the
1980's, 400 to 500 pound steer calves bought in April averaged
$83.25 per cwt and 600 to 700 pound feeder steers sold in
November averaged $71.22 per cwt. Thus an average of a 12
cent negative margin between 450 and 650 pound steers. From
Table 1 you can see how quickly the negative margins begin to
lower value of gain. Many producers choose to keep their own
calves for backgrounding, feeling that not having to sell
calves at lower prices in the fall and purchase higher priced
calves in the spring compensates for the expense of feeding
calves in the winter.
Table 1. Value of gain at various buying (500 lb steer) and
selling (815 lb steer) prices per lb
--------------------------------------------------------------
Sell at: $1.00 $0.90 $0.80 $0.70 $0.60 $0.50
--------------------------------------------------------------
Buy at $1.10 $0.84 $0.58 $0.32 $0.07 -$0.19 -$0.45
Buy at $1.00 1.00 0.74 0.48 0.22 -0.03 -0.29
Buy at $0.90 1.16 0.90 0.64 0.38 0.12 -0.13
Buy at $0.80 1.32 1.06 0.80 0.54 0.28 0.02
Buy at $0.70 1.48 1.22 0.96 0.70 0.44 0.18
Buy at $0.60 1.63 1.38 1.12 0.86 0.60 0.34
--------------------------------------------------------------
Tables 2 and 3 compare value of gain for lightweight
cattle gaining 200 pounds versus heavier cattle also gaining
200 pounds. The influence of initial starting weight is
apparent in comparing the values of gain in the two tables.
The same negative margin (i.e. a 10 cent negative margin on
200 pounds of gain) is more costly when you have heavier
cattle because the loss is spread across more initial pounds
of animal. If the heavier calves only gain as much as the
lighter ones, you have the same pounds of gain to spread this
cost over, thus the
negative margin costs you more per pound of gain. For example,
a 10 cent negative margin on 700 initial pounds costs you $70
($0.10 X 700 pounds). The same 10 cent negative margin on a
400 pound steer only costs $40 ($0.10 X 400 pounds). This
difference of $30 shows up in Tables 2 and 3 as the difference
in the value of gain for the two different weights of animals.
The $30 added cost equals 15 cents per pound of gain ($30 /
200 pounds of gain = $0.15 cost per pound), which is the
difference between the values of gain for lightweight versus
heavier calves when negative margins are 10 cents per pound
(i.e. buy at $0.80 and sell at $0.70, value of gain is $0.50
for light calves but only $0.35 for heavy calves).
Table 2. Value of gain at various buying (400 lb steer) and
selling (600 lb steer) prices per lb
---------------------------------------------------------
Sell at: $1.00 $0.90 $0.80 $0.70 $0.60 $0.50
---------------------------------------------------------
Buy at $1.10 $0.80 $0.50 $0.20 -$0.10 -$0.40 -$0.70
Buy at $1.00 1.00 0.70 0.40 0.10 -0.20 -0.50
Buy at $0.90 1.20 0.90 0.60 0.30 0.00 -0.30
Buy at $0.80 1.40 1.10 0.80 0.50 0.20 -0.10
Buy at $0.70 1.60 1.30 1.00 0.70 0.40 0.10
Buy at $0.60 1.80 1.50 1.20 0.90 0.60 0.30
---------------------------------------------------------
Table 3. Value of gain at various buying (700 lb steer) and
selling (900 lb steer) prices per lb
---------------------------------------------------------
Sell at: $1.00 $0.90 $0.80 $0.70 $0.60 $0.50
---------------------------------------------------------
Buy at $1.10 $0.65 $0.20 $0.25 -$0.70 -$1.15 -$1.60
Buy at $1.00 1.00 0.55 0.10 -0.35 -0.80 -1.25
Buy at $0.90 1.35 0.90 0.45 0.00 -0.45 -0.90
Buy at $0.80 1.70 1.25 0.80 0.35 -0.10 -0.55
Buy at $0.70 2.05 1.60 1.15 0.70 0.25 -0.20
Buy at $0.60 2.40 1.95 1.50 1.05 0.60 0.15
---------------------------------------------------------
Generally the market adjusts for light versus heavy
cattle, with the drop in price per pound slowing as cattle get
heavier (i.e. a larger negative margin exists between 4 and 5
cwt calves than between 7 and 8 cwt calves). This helps
compensate for the influence of negative margin on heavy
versus light calves, and also for the added costs of running
heavier calves (i.e. greater initial cost, more pasture
required per head, etc.). But the influence of negative
margins must always be assessed when backgrounding
profitability is being considered.
The reduction in negative margins is central to the
profit potential that has remained in backgrounding
enterprises even during todays' depressed cattle prices. The
typical 12 cent negative margin (which resulted in a value of
gain of $0.49) during the 1980's, will be much lower in 1996
as calves purchased cheap in the spring will bring a price not
too much lower per pound this fall. For example, a 450 pound
steer purchased for $0.65/lb, if he brings $0.60/lb this fall
at 650 pounds, will have a value of gain of $0.4875, or just
about as high as when cattle prices were more normal.
Cattlemen who chose to overwinter and background calves and
not sell last fall on such a down market, were probably
reacting to narrowing negative margins as much as low prices.
Backgrounding profits depend on value of gain and not just
calf prices.
Table 4 gives projected backgrounding returns for
alternative stocking rate strategies. Management- intensive
Grazing (MiG) can be used very effectively when running
steers, as it offers the opportunity for greater control over
forage quality and availability presented to the animals. One
essential question is how much to increase stocking rate, as
individual animal performance if often reduced as more animals
are stocked per acre. We have currently underway at FSRC, a
stocking rate study to help answer just this question. It is
an extremely important question, because as profit margins
narrow, management emphasis shifts towards individual animal
performance. As profit margins improve, gains per acre become
more of the central focus in order to reach optimum economic
returns. The economic climate in which the cattleman is
operating (i.e. good prices or poor prices), does impact the
level at which to stock ("intensity level") for greatest
profit.
Table 4 examines the impact of stocking rate on gains per
acre, gains per head and profits. The relationship between
stocking rate and average daily gains (ADG) is preliminary,
and based on current and past research at FSRC. Gain per head
is declines, as stocking rate moves from .5 up to 2 steers per
acre. But gains per acre improves from 252 pounds with .5
steers stocked per acre, to 504 pounds of beef produced per
acre when stocked at 2 steers per acre. Using typical calf
prices and production costs, and including the costs to
develop an 80 acre, 24 paddock MiG grazing system,
backgrounding offers competitive returns. The medium-high
stocking rate comes out on top in Table 4, but you should do
a similar analysis based on your own particular situation for
costs, performance levels, etc. Good gains are critical to
backgrounding profitability. So is cost of gain. But value of
gain is what makes backgrounding profits resilient to lower
cattle prices.
Table 4. Profit (return to land, labor and management as used
here) projections for various steer backgrounding scenarios.
Stocking rate (hd/A) 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0
ADG (lb/hd/day) 2.4 2.0 1.6 1.2
Gain/acre (lb/A) 252 420 504 504
Purchase weight (lb/hd) 400 400 400 400
Purchase price/cwt($/cwt)$83.60 $83.60 $83.60 $83.60
Purchase cost/head($/hd) $334.40 $334.40 $334.40 $334.40
Variable costs/head($/hd)$30.00 $30.00 $30.00 $30.00
Operating interest($/hd) $20.38 $20.38 $20.38 $20.38
Total cost/head ($/hd) $384.78 $384.78 $384.78 $384.78
Sale weight (lb/hd) 904 820 736 652
Sale price/cwt ($/cwt) $64.75 $66.75 $68.75 $70.75
Gross revenue/head($/hd) $585.34 $547.35 $506.00 $461.29
Net revenue/head ($/hd) $200.56 $162.57 $121.22 $76.51
Net revenue/acre ($/hd) $100.28 $162.57 $181.83 $153.02
Fence & water cost ($/A) $39.82 $39.82 $39.82 $39.82
Fixed costs ($/A) $11.73 $11.73 $11.73 $11.73
Profit/acre ($/A) $48.73 $111.02 $130.28 $101.47
Value of gain ($/lb) $0.498 $0.507 $0.511 $0.504
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